TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring for the Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, including overtime. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified player or team accumulates more fantasy points than the stated threshold. Players who do not participate or lack a Sleeper-assigned fantasy score are considered to have scored zero points. The official Sleeper fantasy point totals at market expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. Scoring includes rewards for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams plays, and penalties for interceptions or missed kicks, following precise per-yard, per-touchdown, and per-game rules outlined in the Sleeper system.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger sample of opinions represented in the prediction market. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and adjust faster than traditional odds, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different fantasy point totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for the Arizona vs Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official fantasy point totals, as calculated by a major fantasy sports provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to view the final result on Kalshi following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams are significant catalysts, as they directly impact expected fantasy point production. Changes in player matchups or weather forecasts could also shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the game's likely outcome could lead to price adjustments in this market.