TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game between Arizona and Los Angeles. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether a team's performance will exceed that benchmark.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Arizona or Los Angeles in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each individual market has a specified point threshold, and if the designated team scores more than that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the team does not exceed the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Often, prediction markets can offer more nuanced probabilities than simple win/loss spreads found at sportsbooks, and can sometimes identify mispriced opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team’s first half total, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first half team total scored by each team in the Arizona vs Los Angeles game. The official scorekeeping data will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders will be able to view the final result and the payout of their contracts on Kalshi following the completion of the first half.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the style of play, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected lineup changes or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift probabilities. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, driving price fluctuations.