TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Arizona vs Kansas City: Spread
kalshi

Arizona vs Kansas City: Spread

Volume:
$471,214

Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 11:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$247,113
N/A
N/A
$111,146
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,229
N/A
N/A
$21,334
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,494
N/A
N/A
$27,229
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,466
N/A
N/A
$45,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,758
N/A
N/A
$32,078
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,154
N/A
N/A
$14,089
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in a scheduled game, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team manages to win by a specific number of runs or more, providing insight into the potential dominance of either side during the contest.

Kalshi

The event encompasses multiple markets, each assessing different run differentials that determine a resolution. Markets evaluate whether Kansas City wins by exceeding various run margins (over 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs) or whether Arizona secures a victory by surpassing specific run thresholds (over 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs). The overarching outcome hinges on the actual game result—specifically the winning team and the margin of their victory—relative to these predefined thresholds. All markets share the same underlying game, scheduled for September 8, 2026, at 7:40 PM EDT, and are subject to the same disclaimers regarding Kalshi’s lack of affiliation with the governing league. Resolution depends entirely on the final score and which, if any, of the specified run-differential conditions are met.