TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 8:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how decisively either team wins the first quarter of an upcoming football game between Arizona and Green Bay. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that determines whether it resolves as 'Yes' or 'No'.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first quarter of the Arizona vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for August 28, 2026. For markets specifying Green Bay winning by a certain margin, the outcome is 'Yes' only if Green Bay's score exceeds Arizona's by more than the stated threshold at the end of the first quarter. Conversely, markets specifying Arizona winning resolve to 'Yes' only if Arizona's score exceeds Green's by more than the stated margin in that quarter. No other factors, such as overtime or later quarters, influence resolution. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets operate independently — resolution of one does not affect others. The markets cover a range of thresholds from 2.5 to 10.5 points for each team, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in the opening quarter.
On Kalshi, traders in the Arizona vs Green Bay 1st Quarter spread market set odds based on their expectations for the game's early momentum. Sportsbook lines may differ due to broader public betting patterns and different risk models. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, more granular insights, especially for niche aspects like quarter-specific outcomes. The contrast between the two can highlight where expert traders diverge from general sports bettors. Monitoring both sides helps identify potential value shifts as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter will determine whether Green Bay meets or exceeds the spread set for that period, closing the market definitively.
Key signals include injury updates for star players, weather forecasts for the game day, and strategic coaching announcements. Quarterback performance trends and defensive lineup changes can also shift expectations. As kickoff approaches, betting volume and line movements in traditional sportsbooks may influence trader behavior on Kalshi. Any last-minute roster adjustments or stadium conditions could cause rapid price swings in this market before it resolves around Aug 29, 2026.