TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the combined score of Arizona and BYU in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, exceeds various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring outcomes.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total points scored by Arizona and BYU in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For each threshold, if the combined score exceeds the specified value, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the final score. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent, and each threshold is assessed separately against the actual game outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which slightly skews the probabilities, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster in response to breaking news, such as a key player injury. It's common to see differences between the two, particularly before significant information becomes widely available, but they often converge closer to the event time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific total points outcome for the Arizona vs BYU game. Traders buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the total points will be at or above that level, and sell 'no' contracts if they believe it will be below. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time signal of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Arizona vs BYU game will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100 and which settle at 0. Any contracts corresponding to the actual total points scored will pay out to the holders, while those representing different totals will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or BYU teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might shift trader sentiment. Public perception and betting trends, as reflected in other sources, can also play a role in influencing the price of contracts leading up to the game.