TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team makes in an upcoming college football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve a specific number of successful kicks, reflecting offensive performance and strategy in the match.
All markets resolve based on the official number of made field goals by each team during the Arizona vs BYU college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, including any field goals made in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for resolution: a market resolves to 'Yes' only if the named team records at least the specified number of made field goals (1+, 2+, or 3+), with any higher count still satisfying the condition. The markets are independent, allowing separate evaluation of each team's likelihood to reach different scoring milestones.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Initial sportsbook lines might be heavily influenced by public perception or team reputations. As more information becomes available – like injury reports or weather forecasts – this market tends to adjust more rapidly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome than traditional betting markets. It's common to see discrepancies as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different field goal total ranges for both teams. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The closer we get to the game, the more volatile the prices may become as uncertainty decreases and more definitive information emerges. This creates an environment where informed traders can potentially capitalize on mispricings.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final field goal totals for both Arizona and BYU are verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective determination of the final result. Traders who correctly predicted the field goal totals will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the final score impacts the market outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key injuries to either team’s kicker or offensive players would be major catalysts. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence scoring and therefore the number of field goal attempts. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or significant player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any substantial shifts in public perception, even if not directly tied to concrete information, can sometimes create short-term price fluctuations in this market.