TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a college football matchup, focusing specifically on how many touchdowns are scored through receptions rather than rushing or other plays. It examines whether each team reaches certain thresholds of receiving touchdowns during the game.
The event evaluates whether BYU or Arizona achieves specified minimum numbers of receiving touchdowns in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold for each team (e.g., BYU 2+, BYU 3+, BYU 4+, Arizona 1+, Arizona 2+, Arizona 3+). A receiving touchdown is counted only when the player who catches the pass also scores the touchdown; if another player recovers a fumble and scores, it does not count as a receiving touchdown, though if the original receiver recovers their own fumble and scores, it does count. All receiving touchdowns, including those scored in overtime, are included in the totals, while successful two-point conversions—whether in regulation or overtime—are excluded. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, it proceeds as normal. If the game does not start within that window, the markets resolve to a fair price. The markets operate independently, meaning each threshold for each team is assessed separately.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a team is more likely to score touchdowns than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than available at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, a team scoring touchdowns. As more people buy contracts predicting a touchdown, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of traders and their evolving expectations about the game's outcome. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a team reaching the endzone.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, following the completion of the Arizona vs BYU football game. The outcome will be determined by verifying whether each team scored at least one touchdown during the game, confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and play-by-play data from official sources will be used to establish whether the conditions for payout are met. The market will then settle based on these verified results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries on either the Arizona or BYU teams would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's scoring potential. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team formations could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any public statements from analysts or the teams themselves regarding their offensive approach could move this market.