TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether BYU will win their game against Arizona by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of BYU winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 71.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Arizona vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep a close watch on the game itself on September 12, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Arizona vs BYU college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For BYU-related markets, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if BYU wins by more than the specified point differential (ranging from 1.5 to 27.5 points). For Arizona-related markets, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Arizona wins by more than the specified point differential (ranging from 1.5 to 14.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the point spread conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they aggregate information from a diverse range of participants. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful point of comparison when evaluating the potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and changing expectations about the game’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or BYU teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any major news or analysis related to team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert predictions, can also play a role, though this market is driven by actual trading activity.