TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Arizona and BYU. It provides a way to speculate on the momentum and performance of each team specifically in the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
If BYU wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arizona vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more informed traders. However, both aim to predict the same ultimate outcome: which team will win the 4th quarter of the Arizona vs BYU game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome – Arizona winning, BYU winning, or a tie – and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability of that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome on Kalshi is a 4th quarter tie, though the chance percentage is not currently available.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 4th quarter – Arizona, BYU, or a tie – will be determined by the official game results. No further information is available regarding the specific resolution process beyond this timing and verification against public sources. Traders should monitor the game’s progress to understand the likely outcome as the game nears its conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or BYU teams would likely have a significant impact. Game-day performance, such as strong offensive or defensive plays, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, or even a change in coaching strategy, could also play a role. Essentially, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning the 4th quarter has the potential to move this market.