TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the third quarter in an upcoming college football game between Arizona and BYU. Each market corresponds to different point spreads that either team must achieve to satisfy the condition.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the third quarter of the Arizona vs BYU college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For markets where BYU must win by a specified margin, the outcome is Yes only if BYU outscores Arizona by more than the stated points in that quarter alone. Conversely, markets requiring Arizona to win by a certain margin resolve to Yes if Arizona's third-quarter score exceeds BYU's by the designated amount. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter, disregarding the overall game result. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the actual third-quarter outcome. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the delayed or canceled game.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see initial differences between the two, but as the event approaches, the prediction market prices often become more aligned with sportsbook lines, potentially offering a more accurate forecast. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter of the Arizona vs BYU game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Buyers are expressing a belief that the spread is *more* likely than the current price suggests, while sellers believe it’s *less* likely. This dynamic interaction between buyers and sellers establishes the current price and drives the market’s movement.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Arizona vs BYU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine whether contracts predicting a specific spread pay out or expire worthless. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and scoring, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or BYU teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.