TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game between Arizona and BYU. Each market corresponds to different point spreads that either team needs to achieve to settle the bet.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in favor of either Arizona or BYU during the first quarter of the game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning margin, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points. If the specified team meets or exceeds the designated point spread in the first quarter, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets consider only points scored in the first quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on the collective predictions of individuals. It’s common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches, as both markets incorporate new data. However, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, particularly when there is strong disagreement among experts or hidden information influencing the event.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final first-quarter spread of the Arizona vs BYU game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive $0.00. The platform will automatically process the payouts based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence the Arizona vs BYU spread market. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would any updates on the weather forecast for the game. Changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift the odds. Finally, any late-breaking news concerning team morale or internal conflicts could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.