TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Arizona vs Atlanta: Spread
kalshi

Arizona vs Atlanta: Spread

Volume:
$327,664

Arizona wins by over 4.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Arizona wins by over 4.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 10:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 4.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$74,241
N/A
N/A
$69,450
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$73,900
N/A
N/A
$46,148
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,376
N/A
N/A
$29,826
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 5.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,790
N/A
N/A
$13,899
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,529
N/A
N/A
$8,996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona wins by over 6.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,060
N/A
N/A
$3,447
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$82,102
N/A
N/A
$65,155
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,436
N/A
N/A
$15,395
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,637
N/A
N/A
$2,228
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta wins by over 4.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$591
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the performance of two teams in an upcoming baseball game, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team manages to win by a specific number of runs or more, providing insight into expected dominance in the match. The outcome reflects predictive insights about competitive balance and potential scoring dynamics between the teams.

Kalshi

The event consists of six separate markets, each evaluating different run differential thresholds for either Arizona or Atlanta to win by in their professionally scheduled game on August 15, 2026, at 7:15 PM EDT. Markets 1, 2, and 3 assess Atlanta’s victory margin, requiring wins by more than 3.5, 2.5, and 1.5 runs respectively. Conversely, Markets 4, 5, and 6 assess Arizona’s victory margin, requiring wins by more than 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 runs respectively. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team fulfills its corresponding run-differential condition; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.