TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (W)
Volume:
$44,156
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Arizona State Sun Devils and Texas Tech Red Raiders scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Texas Tech win and Arizona State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable and meaningless. Polymarket uses a proper binary structure.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market design is broken and should not be traded. The platform likely intended a Yes/No structure but failed to specify the No condition. Polymarket's market is the only reliable venue for this event. Do not risk capital on Kalshi until the market is corrected or clarified by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to Arizona State Sun Devils if ASU wins, or Texas Tech Red Raiders if Tech wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory design. Both Texas Tech winning and Arizona State winning are specified to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible scenario where the market cannot differentiate outcomes. No No condition is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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