TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Volume:
$1,836,106
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Arizona State Sun Devils and Iowa State Cyclones scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple point spread variations, and over/under total points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Arizona State victory and Iowa State victory are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline until clarification is provided by the platform. For spread and total markets, both platforms are consistent: use final score including overtime, postponed games remain open, canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Rely on Polymarket for authoritative moneyline settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Arizona State victory and Iowa State victory resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Arizona St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Iowa St. wins... resolves to Yes'.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market cleanly resolves to either Arizona State Sun Devils or Iowa State Cyclones based on winner. Spread and total markets align with Kalshi on thresholds and edge cases. Quote: 'If the Arizona State Sun Devils win, the market will resolve to Arizona State Sun Devils. If the Iowa State Cyclones win, the market will resolve to Iowa State Cyclones.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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