TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of Arizona State and Texas A&M in making field goals during their college football matchup. The outcomes depend on whether each team successfully kicks a certain number of field goals, reflecting their offensive efficiency and accuracy in scoring attempts.
All markets resolve based on the official number of made field goals by each team during the Arizona St. vs Texas A&M college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, including any field goals made in overtime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges solely on the teams' field goal achievements as recorded by official game statistics.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or house biases. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. While there can be initial discrepancies, prediction markets often converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – the total number of field goals scored by each team. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Essentially, the market price represents what it costs to take a position on a specific outcome, and these prices change dynamically based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates lower probability, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of field goals scored by both Arizona State and Texas A&M during the official game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the definitive source for the resolution. Traders will be able to view the final outcome and the resulting payouts on Kalshi after the game concludes and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Arizona State or Texas A&M would likely have a significant impact, as would updates on weather conditions expected during the game. Changes in betting trends at sportsbooks could also indirectly affect the market, as traders may adjust their positions based on perceived value discrepancies. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could introduce new information and lead to price fluctuations in this market before Sep 12, 2026.