TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will outscore the other by a specific margin in the final quarter of a college football game. The outcomes depend solely on points scored during the fourth quarter, ignoring any overtime periods.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the fourth quarter of the Arizona St. vs Texas A&M college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, excluding overtime. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, with outcomes determined by whether Texas A&M or Arizona St. exceeds that threshold in the fourth quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the fourth quarter count toward these outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final 4th quarter spread of the Arizona State vs. Texas A&M game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their contract status shortly after the game concludes and the official results are released.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in team performance could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can quickly shift the price, especially if they indicate strong conviction from informed traders. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into how the market is evolving and potential future price movements.