TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of different scoring outcomes. Each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring intensity, reflecting expectations about the game's pace and offensive performance. The resolution depends solely on the final combined score of both teams.
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a specific threshold of total points scored by both teams combined in the Arizona St. vs Kansas college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold selected. The markets are independent, with each threshold evaluated separately against the same game outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likely total points scored. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one is experiencing more activity. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the game’s potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final total points and taking positions accordingly. The current price indicates what the market believes is the most likely outcome, and the volume shows how much conviction traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Arizona State versus Kansas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a total points value equal to or exceeding the actual total will pay out $100, while those predicting a lower total will expire worthless. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts and settling this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to the game. News regarding key player injuries for either Arizona State or Kansas would likely cause significant movement, as would updates on weather conditions that might affect the scoring. Changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could also shift the market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.