TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 12:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Kansas. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the initial 15 minutes of the contest, ignoring the rest of the game’s outcome.
If Kansas wins the 1st quarter of the Arizona St. vs Kansas college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona St. wins the 1st quarter of the Arizona St. vs Kansas college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Arizona St. vs Kansas college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the first quarter of the Arizona State vs Kansas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as determined by the game’s governing body, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the first-quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game's progress leading up to the end of the first quarter to understand how the market might react to in-game events.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona State or Kansas team would likely impact the odds. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks can influence trader behavior. Finally, even early momentum within the first quarter itself—such as a quick scoring drive—could cause rapid price adjustments in this market.