TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 1:44 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of Arizona State and Kansas in the first half of their college football game, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. Outcomes are determined solely by points scored during the first half, with specific thresholds defining each market's resolution.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Arizona St. vs Kansas college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. Each market has a distinct point differential threshold; if Arizona St. wins by exceeding the specified margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Kansas wins by exceeding its specified margin, that market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison when evaluating the potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more a particular spread is bought, the higher its price becomes, indicating increased confidence in that outcome. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely first-half spread.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first-half spread of the Arizona State versus Kansas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the conclusion of the first half.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona State or Kansas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in betting trends and expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.