TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 6:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 27 at 6:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for June 27 at 6:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders risking real capital on their forecasts. This market may show sharper or earlier adjustments to breaking news, injury reports, or lineup changes because traders update prices continuously without the operational delays inherent in sportsbook line management. Direct comparison requires converting both formats to implied probability.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the first five innings of the game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team holds the lead after exactly five full innings have been played. No extra innings, rain delays, or other complications alter the five-inning window; the market settles based solely on the official score at that checkpoint. Early resolution may occur if the game is called before five innings are finished, subject to standard baseball rules.
Key catalysts include confirmed starting pitchers, bullpen availability, and recent offensive form for both teams. Weather conditions—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—can significantly affect early-inning scoring dynamics. Injury announcements or last-minute lineup changes alter perceived matchup strength and may trigger sharp trader repositioning. Public betting trends, if visible through sportsbook reporting, can influence market prices as traders react to where casual money is flowing. Game-day conditions at first pitch, including field state and umpire assignments, may also prompt final adjustments before trading closes.