TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:40 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 26 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 26 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome, the odds on Predict will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the game's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a share in the outcome, effectively forecasting the likelihood of each possibility.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arizona Diamondbacks versus San Diego Padres game, as determined by official league statistics. The final score and winner will be used to determine which outcome in this market is considered correct. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Diamondbacks or Padres would likely cause significant movement. Changes in starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant shifts in public perception based on recent team performance could all affect trading activity. Unexpected lineup changes or pre-game reports about team strategy could also lead to adjustments in the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.