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404,175

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
polymarket
predict

Who will win Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres?

Volume:
$678,580

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 9:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$386,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

View
N/A
N/A
—
$10,630
$6,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,623
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,067
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event group covers two MLB markets for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres game scheduled for July 6 at 9:40 PM ET: a head-to-head winner market and a first-inning run-scoring market. Both markets share identical postponement, cancellation, and tie-resolution logic, with MLB.com as the primary official source.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical resolution logic for game outcome, postponement handling, cancellation treatment, and tie scenarios, with MLB.com as the sole authoritative source.Primary resolution logic: Official MLB final statistics published on MLB.com; if unavailable within 24 hours after game conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.

Core resolution logic:

  • Head-to-head market resolves to Arizona Diamondbacks if they win, San Diego Padres if they win
  • First-inning run market resolves to Yes if at least one run is scored by either team in the 1st inning, No if zero runs scored
  • If game is postponed, both markets remain open until the makeup game is completed
  • If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, both markets resolve 50-50
  • If game ends in a tie, both markets resolve 50-50
  • Makeup game status is confirmed via the home team schedule on MLB.com

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement and Makeup: If the game is postponed, markets remain open. Resolution occurs only after the makeup game is played and completed. Check the home team (San Diego Padres) schedule on MLB.com for makeup game details.
  • Cancellation with No Makeup: If the game is canceled entirely and no makeup game is scheduled, both markets resolve 50-50.
  • Tie Game: If the game ends in a tie (rare in MLB but possible in certain circumstances), both markets resolve 50-50.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If MLB.com does not publish final official statistics within 24 hours after game conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources (e.g., ESPN, MLB.com news, official team announcements).
Timing: Resolution occurs after the game concludes and official MLB final statistics are published on MLB.com, or within 24 hours thereafter if statistics are delayed. For postponed games, resolution timing resets to the makeup game completion date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for July 6 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for July 6 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation and order-book dynamics. This market's odds reflect what traders are willing to buy and sell at each moment, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception diverges from professional oddsmaking, though both aim to reflect underlying probabilities.

Polymarket and Predict operate with distinct user bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates pricing variation. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences may also stem from timing lags in order execution, varying levels of market depth, or divergent trader demographics on each platform. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when prices drift too far apart, though transaction costs and platform friction typically keep spreads within a narrow band. Monitoring both venues helps traders spot mispricings and understand where consensus is strongest.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and playoff implications can also shift trader positioning. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp repricing. As game day approaches, late-breaking information and final betting action typically drive the most volatile moves, with this market likely to see increased trading volume in the hours before the matchup begins.