TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 12:12 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-27 19:10 UTC: If the Arizona Diamondbacks win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-27 19:10 UTC: If the Arizona Diamondbacks win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering more accurate probabilities than sportsbook lines, though this isn't always the case.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing creates a real-time assessment of the event's potential results, driven by the informed opinions of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres, as reported by official sources. The final score and official result will be used to determine which outcome, if any, wins this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the outcome is officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports of team morale issues could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades within this market itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you anticipate potential market movements.