TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
opinion
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates?

Volume:
$917,204

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 6:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$259,579
N/A
N/A
$234,001
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,387
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks whether there will be a run scored in the first inning of the MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 51.0%. Data is drawn from Opinion, Kalshi, and Polymarket, with resolution based on MLB.com. Watch for the game on July 27, 2026, as this will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use MLB.com as the primary resolution source and share identical rules for game outcomes and inning-specific scoring, including handling of postponed, canceled, and tied games.Primary resolution logic: MLB.com

Core resolution logic:

  • If the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game, the market resolves to Arizona Diamondbacks
  • If the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game, the market resolves to Pittsburgh Pirates
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed
  • If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50
  • For first-inning scoring markets, 'Yes' resolves if either team scores at least one run in the first inning, 'No' resolves if no runs are scored

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until the makeup game is completed; resolution source remains MLB.com
  • Cancellation: Market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game
  • Tie: Market resolves 50-50 if the game officially ends in a tie
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official MLB.com result is published, typically within 24 hours of the game conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 27 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Arizona vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-27 22:40 UTC: If the Arizona Diamondbacks win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the Pittsburgh Pirates win, the market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Diamondbacks vs. Pirates matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing overall volume of $917,204 and 24-hour volume at $913,985. It tracks consensus probabilities, price movements, and liquidity shifts as traders bet on outcomes like game winners or inning-specific performance. This unified view lets users monitor how market sentiment evolves before the event concludes, highlighting any emerging trends or divergences across venues.