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402,751

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2,632

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5

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VS.

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will win Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians?

Volume:
$6,109,510

Arizona

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 10:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,296,871
N/A
N/A
$1,297,765
Settled
Yes
predict

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1,328
$10,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$344,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cleveland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,251,465
N/A
N/A
$1,320,263
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,788
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks who will cover the spread in the MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cleveland Guardians, specifically whether the Cleveland Guardians will win by more than 2.5 runs. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5), is 100.0% across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict. The resolution source is official final statistics from MLB.com. Watch for the game scheduled for August 2 at 1:40 PM ET as the key catalyst for market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official MLB statistics, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and ties.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB.com

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner determined by official game result
  • First inning runs determined by official inning statistics
  • Postponements keep markets open until game completion
  • Cancellations or ties resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the makeup game is completed
  • Cancellation: Markets resolve 50-50 if no makeup game is scheduled
  • Tie: Markets resolve 50-50 if game ends in a tie
Timing: Resolution occurs within 24 hours after the game concludes, using official MLB statisticsOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 2 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Arizona wins the Arizona vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland wins the Arizona vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 2 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Diamondbacks-Guardians matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders on different platforms price this event. It displays total volume of $6,109,510 and 24-hour volume of $6,105,945, alongside a consensus view shaped by the top outcomes from each venue. This real-time snapshot helps users see where interest is concentrated and how sentiment shifts as the game approaches.