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$134,145,987

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds

Volume:
$4,827,007

Arizona

 - Kalshi

Arizona - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 10:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,565,597
N/A
N/A
$1,412,290
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$449,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cincinnati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,535,038
N/A
N/A
$873,743
Settled
No
predict

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,468
$3,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$118,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$8,668
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,592
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
95¢
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
98¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cincinnati Reds. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, the aggregated consensus shows 99.0% probability for the leading outcome, as determined by official MLB statistics. The game is scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET, with the resolution window closing on June 19, 2026. Watch for the final game result on MLB.com to determine the winner.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic (Yes if either team wins) diverges from Polymarket and Predict (resolve to specific winner). This represents a scope/structure difference rather than a data integrity failure, as Kalshi's market may be designed as a 'game completion' proxy rather than a winner-selection market.Hero tip: Polymarket and Predict are directly comparable and use identical resolution logic. Kalshi's Yes/No structure is incompatible with winner-picking markets. If you are trading the winner outcome, use Polymarket or Predict. If Kalshi is intended as a 'will the game be played' market, it serves a different purpose and should not be cross-hedged with winner markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Arizona Diamondbacks if Diamondbacks win, Cincinnati Reds if Reds win. Postponements remain open; cancellations/ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics within 24 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
  • Predict: Identical to Polymarket: resolves to named winner (Diamondbacks or Reds). Postponements remain open; cancellations/ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics within 24 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Cincinnati wins OR Arizona wins the game originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. This creates a binary Yes outcome for any non-tie result, fundamentally different from winner-selection markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for June 12 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either Arizona or Cincinnati wins the professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for June 12 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

The Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading prediction market platforms. It displays the consensus probability for each outcome, current market prices, and 24-hour trading volume across both venues. This cross-platform view lets you compare how different markets are pricing the matchup, identify pricing divergences, and track momentum shifts as new information emerges. The dashboard consolidates fragmented liquidity into a single reference point for this Major League Baseball event.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently of traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different risk profiles and participant bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders with real money at stake. For the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds matchup, prediction market prices may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in liquidity, trader sophistication, and market structure. Comparing both sources can reveal arbitrage opportunities and help you assess which pricing model better reflects true game probability.

Key catalysts for price movement in the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds market include starting pitcher announcements, late-game roster changes, weather conditions at the stadium, and real-time game developments. Injury updates to star players, bullpen availability, and recent team form can shift trader sentiment significantly. Breaking news about lineup decisions or umpire assignments may also trigger rapid repricing. As game time approaches, live betting action and early-inning performance will likely drive the most volatile swings in market odds.