TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 13.75M
- Kalshi
Above 13.75M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Closed: Aug 4, 9:58 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether Ariana Grande achieves specific high levels of global daily views on YouTube within a defined one-week period in 2026. The outcome depends on whether her view counts surpass various thresholds during that timeframe.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of global daily YouTube views for Ariana Grande between July 27 and August 2, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct market, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if her views exceed that specific threshold at any point during the period. Thresholds range incrementally from above 13 million to above 14.75 million views. View counts are verified using YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting the 'Global' location filter. These markets are independently operated and have not been endorsed by YouTube; references to YouTube are used descriptively and do not imply affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, this market’s implied odds reflect a competitive landscape, with no single day dominating expectations yet. Analyst forecasts from entertainment industry experts may vary, offering alternative perspectives on peak viewership timing. Comparing these forecasts against the market’s probabilities can reveal whether traders are more bullish or bearish on certain dates compared to professional predictions.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The day with the highest confirmed daily view count during the July 27 to August 2 window will determine the winning contract, based on officially published audience metrics.
