TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 21M
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Above 21M - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 11, 9:45 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of Ariana Grande's YouTube views over a one-week period in August 2026. It focuses on whether her daily view count surpasses various thresholds, reflecting her popularity and engagement with her audience during that specific timeframe.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Ariana Grande achieves specific global daily view milestones on YouTube between August 3, 2026, and August 9, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 16 million to above 22 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' Ariana Grande must exceed the stated threshold at least once during the specified week. Global daily views are verified through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting 'Global' as the location. It is explicitly noted that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
While analysts may issue their own projections, this market lets traders bet on real-time expectations. The current odds reflect collective wisdom from participants on Kalshi, often diverging from traditional media polls. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd sees a different outcome than experts, helping you spot potential surprises before they happen.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding, with the top outcome's chance displayed as a percentage. Volume of $40,125 and recent 24-hour activity of $4,396 show liquidity. The market price adjusts dynamically based on new information, such as announced tour dates or social media buzz, influencing expectations for peak viewership.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official view counts are reported from credible public sources. The day with the highest verified daily views during the specified August 2026 period will settle the contract, reflecting real audience engagement data rather than predictions.
