TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 16M
- Kalshi
Above 16M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 18, 2026
Closed: Aug 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of a popular music artist on a global video-sharing platform during a specific week. It focuses on whether the artist achieves certain thresholds of daily view counts, reflecting audience engagement and content reach during that period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether Ariana Grande attains specified global daily view count thresholds on YouTube within the defined timeframe of August 10 to August 16, 2026. Each threshold, ranging from above 16 million to above 28 million views, constitutes a separate condition for market resolution. If at any point during the week the artist's global daily views exceed any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. View counts are verified through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting the 'Global' location filter. It is explicitly noted that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are used descriptively without implying any affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest single-day view count for Ariana Grande between August 10 and August 16, 2026, will be compared against official broadcast and streaming data sources. No additional interpretation is needed — the raw numbers decide the result.
News about tour announcements, last-minute ticket releases, or major media coverage could shift expectations and move this market. Social media trends, especially spikes in engagement around concert dates, often precede changes in trading activity. Any unexpected performance cancellations or additions within the period may also cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their views on peak viewership.
