TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being surpassed. The outcomes depend entirely on the final point totals for both teams during the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores above a particular point threshold in the game between the ARI Cardinals and the SF 49ers scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the team's points exceed the stated threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds vary incrementally for both teams, offering multiple opportunities to assess different levels of scoring performance. All markets are independent, and each has its own specific point requirement that must be met for a Yes outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price variations between the two types of markets. However, sportsbook odds are still a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible team total point outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team's total points. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in specific outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals for both the Cardinals and the 49ers are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that the market accurately reflects the actual results of the game. Traders should monitor official sources for the final scores to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or the 49ers would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also impact expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, as traders react to perceived opportunities or new information.