TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between the Arizona Cardinals and the San Francisco 49ers. It captures the competitive performance of both teams during a specific segment of the match, highlighting brief-period dominance rather than the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the third quarter of the specified game. If San Francisco scores more points than Arizona in that quarter, the 'San Francisco wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Arizona scores more points, the 'Arizona wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points, the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes, and all team-specific markets resolve to No. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the outcome, and the broader game result is irrelevant to this determination.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by buyers and sellers expressing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter winner. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public versus informed opinion regarding the Cardinals and 49ers. The market aggregates diverse perspectives, potentially leading to more accurate predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Cardinals or the 49ers will win the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, signaling growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 3rd quarter of the Cardinals-49ers game will determine the result. The platform will verify the official game results to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress leading up to the end of the 3rd quarter.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or the 49ers would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also shift sentiment. Finally, even significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or sports news, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.