TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Arizona Cardinals and the San Francisco 49ers during the third quarter of their upcoming game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the specified game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams in the third quarter exceed the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the total points scored in the 3rd quarter being over or under a certain number. As more traders buy ‘yes’ contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure on ‘yes’ contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Cardinals-49ers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the ‘yes’ or ‘no’ outcome prevails. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Cardinals or 49ers would likely cause significant movement, as would updates on weather conditions that could affect scoring. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, will also have a direct impact. Public perception, fueled by social media or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations, as traders react to changing expectations about the game's trajectory and potential final score.