TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between the Arizona Cardinals and the San Francisco 49ers specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that quarter, regardless of the final game result.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential between the Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers during the second quarter of play in their game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'. For markets where the 49ers must win by a certain margin, the outcome depends on San Francisco's scoring advantage in the second quarter alone. Conversely, markets requiring the Cardinals to win by a set margin depend solely on Arizona's scoring lead during that same quarter. No points scored in any other quarter or at any other time influence these resolutions. All markets share the same secondary rule that only points scored during the second quarter count toward determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade contracts based on their own beliefs about the game's outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market can adjust rapidly, potentially anticipating shifts that sportsbooks may be slower to incorporate. It's common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets aren't subject to the same profit margins or risk management constraints as sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions on the 2nd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts are aligned with the actual outcome. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that spread will become, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 2nd quarter spread of the Cardinals-49ers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential in the second quarter will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. All contracts will be settled based on this official result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Cardinals or the 49ers would be a major catalyst, as would any significant changes in weather forecasts for the game location. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, as kickoff approaches, even the release of starting lineups can cause price fluctuations as traders react to the latest information available before the game begins.