TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:20 PM EST
Kalshi
Similar to the previous winner market, this one determines the second-half winner for another pair of teams, including a tie outcome.
The market resolves to Yes for the winning team if they score the most points in the second half (including overtime). If both teams score equally, the Tie market resolves to Yes, and all team markets resolve to No.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each team winning the second half. Discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available or as different groups of people assess the probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently with new data than traditional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of the game’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that wins the second half of the Cardinals-49ers game will be declared the winner of this market. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which team secured the victory. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the completion of the game and official confirmation of the results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or the 49ers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy leading up to the game could also play a role. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence how traders price the probabilities in this market.