TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points the Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers score together in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle as 'Yes'. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold—ranging from just over 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points—that determines whether the outcome settles as 'Yes' (if the combined score exceeds the threshold) or 'No' (if it does not). The thresholds increase progressively across the markets, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring levels in the opening quarter. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets share this consistent secondary rule. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trading. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, the prediction market can often become more accurate as more information and trading activity occur, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total points scored in the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to express their true beliefs, as profitable trades depend on accurate predictions. The market’s price dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the game’s potential scoring dynamics.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Cardinals-49ers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome. It is important to monitor official sources for the confirmed first quarter score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or the 49ers would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected scoring rate. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team lineups could also move the market. Even significant public sentiment shifts, reflected in betting patterns on Kalshi, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.