TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different point margin threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the relative performance of the teams within the first half alone.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first half of the specified game. If the San Francisco 49ers win the first half by exceeding the specified margin—for example, more than 20.5, 17.5, 14.5, etc.—the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered. Conversely, if the Arizona Cardinals win the first half by exceeding their respective margins—such as more than 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 points up to 10.5—the associated market resolves to 'Yes'. Only points scored during the first half are considered; any points from the second half are irrelevant for resolution. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the outcome of one does not affect the others.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market’s price is determined by individuals trading on their own predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, but it’s important to compare both to get a comprehensive view of potential outcomes for the Cardinals-49ers first half spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Cardinals-49ers first half spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of the spread falling within a specific range at the end of the first half.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the first half of the Cardinals-49ers game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cardinals or the 49ers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could impact predictions and alter the price of contracts for the Cardinals-49ers first half spread.