TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between the Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Chargers. It captures the competitive performance of both teams during a specific segment of the match, highlighting the potential for shifting momentum within a single quarter.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the third quarter of the designated game. If the Los Angeles Chargers score more points in the third quarter than the Arizona Cardinals, the 'Los Angeles C wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Arizona Cardinals score more points than the Chargers in that quarter, the 'Arizona wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Should both teams finish the third quarter with equal points, neither team-specific market resolves to Yes; instead, the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and the broader game result does not affect the resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analyses, but this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, they can buy or sell contracts here, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. However, differences can exist due to varying levels of information and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Cardinals or the Chargers winning the third quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team that is leading at the end of the third quarter of the Cardinals-Chargers game will be declared the winner of this market. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Trading will cease once the third quarter concludes and the result is officially recorded.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or the Chargers would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also move the market. In-game performance during the first and second quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports commentators could influence trading activity and cause price fluctuations.