TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:58 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points the Arizona Cardinals and Los Angeles Chargers will score together in the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these determinations.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the specified game. Each market features a distinct numerical threshold—ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points—that determines whether the outcome is 'Yes' (if the total exceeds the threshold) or 'No' (if it does not). The resolution hinges solely on third-quarter scoring; points from any other quarter are irrelevant. These markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately according to its specific condition.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the inherent volatility of both types of markets. However, it’s common to see convergence in the odds as the game approaches, as both markets incorporate new data and insights. Keep in mind that this market is driven by user predictions, not a fixed algorithm.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter total points scored. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the ‘yes’ side (over 21.5 points) or the ‘no’ side (under 21.5 points). As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of the market’s expectations. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing for dynamic adjustments based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Cardinals-Chargers game will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contract pays out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for the resolution. The platform will then automatically settle the contracts based on this verified result, distributing payouts to winning traders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or the Chargers would likely have a significant impact, as it affects scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, could also shift expectations. Additionally, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could influence traders’ beliefs about the likely 3rd quarter total. Unexpected strategic adjustments by either coaching staff could also contribute to price movements in this market.