TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses exclusively on the second half performance of the Arizona Cardinals versus the Los Angeles Chargers in their scheduled game. Each market evaluates whether one team achieves a specific point differential margin over the other during that half, with varying thresholds for victory magnitude.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Chargers during the second half of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the winning team exceeds that margin. For markets where the Chargers win by more than a specified number of points, resolution is 'Yes' if their second-half lead surpasses the threshold; conversely, for markets where the Cardinals win by more than a specified number, resolution is 'Yes' if their second-half lead exceeds the threshold. No points scored outside the second half or during overtime contribute to any market resolution. All markets operate independently, meaning each resolves based on its unique margin requirement regardless of other market outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can arise from varying levels of information or differing interpretations of the same information. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Cardinals-Chargers 2nd half spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the true probability.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second half of the Cardinals-Chargers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league. The market will then pay out to contract holders based on whether their predicted spread matches the actual result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to resolution to stay informed of any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cardinals or the Chargers would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before or during the game could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant in-game events during the first half, such as a dominant performance by one team, could lead to rapid price adjustments.