TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the first quarter of an upcoming football game between the Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Chargers. It captures the early momentum and performance of both teams before the game fully develops.
If Los Angeles C wins the 1st Quarter of the ARI Cardinals vs LA Chargers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona wins the 1st Quarter of the ARI Cardinals vs LA Chargers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the ARI Cardinals vs LA Chargers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market represents a broader range of opinions. If a significant number of traders believe a team is more likely to win the first quarter than sportsbooks indicate, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger sample size of informed opinions contributing to this market. It’s common to see prediction markets as a potentially more accurate indicator of true probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Cardinals or the Chargers winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. Buying a contract is essentially betting on that outcome, while selling a contract is betting against it. The closer we get to the game, the more these prices will likely converge as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the first quarter of the Cardinals-Chargers game will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting to ensure accuracy. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout equivalent to the contract’s price at resolution, while those holding the losing contract will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the official game results to understand the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or the Chargers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations. Finally, any large volume trades on Kalshi itself could cause noticeable price swings, as traders react to and anticipate potential shifts in the perceived probability of each team winning the first quarter.