TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between the Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Chargers. Each threshold represents a different level of combined points that the two teams might achieve before halftime. The outcomes depend solely on the actual points scored during that specific timeframe.
These markets assess whether the combined points scored by the Arizona Cardinals and Los Angeles Chargers during the first half of their game scheduled for September 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and if the total points scored by both teams in the first half surpass that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first half, with no impact from the second half or any other game aspects. The disclaimers clarify that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging towards probabilities that differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market absorbs information and adjusts expectations. Polls and analysts’ predictions also often differ from both sportsbook and prediction market odds, highlighting the diverse perspectives on the potential outcome of this event. Examining these differences can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the actual first half total will be over or under a certain value. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 50, the more uncertain the market is about the final result. Traders are constantly updating their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final first half total score from the Cardinals-Chargers game will be used to determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for verification. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cardinals or the Chargers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and cause the price to move considerably before the game begins.