TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team might win the first half, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance or upset potential.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first half of the designated game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the first half by more than the stated point margin. Only points scored during the first half are considered; any points from the second half are irrelevant. The markets cover a range of margins from over 2.5 to over 20.5 points for both teams, enabling participants to evaluate different levels of performance or upset potential. The governing league's official scoring and game results determine resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the league.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the outcome of the Cardinals-Chargers 1st half spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Cardinals-Chargers 1st half spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for exposure to a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official 1st half spread result of the Cardinals-Chargers game, as determined by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the losing side will receive nothing. The final price of contracts will reflect the accuracy of the market’s predictions leading up to the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cardinals or the Chargers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift opinions. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and cause the price to fluctuate.