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400,720
Markets across
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Closed: Jul 11, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Switzerland, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina score more goals than Switzerland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Argentina and Switzerland score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland score more goals than Argentina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Switzerland, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina score more goals than Switzerland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Argentina and Switzerland score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland score more goals than Argentina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or earlier signals because traders have direct financial exposure to outcomes. However, sportsbooks may incorporate additional data or risk models. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential analytical edges.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds for this market through an automated market maker mechanism, where buy and sell orders directly influence the price of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative belief of all traders participating in the market at any given moment. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcomes fall. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the trading period.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the second half of the Argentina vs. Switzerland match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by the official final score and match result reported by authoritative sports coverage. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure they understand how the second half concluded and any potential edge cases that might affect settlement.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before the second half—often triggers sharp price movement. Early second-half momentum, goals scored, and red cards or significant fouls can rapidly reshape trader expectations. Weather conditions or crowd dynamics may also influence play. Additionally, any official statements from team management or broadcasters about match circumstances could prompt repricing. Traders typically watch live commentary and social media closely during the match for real-time catalysts.