TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether selected Argentina and Switzerland players record assists during their FIFA World Cup match on July 11, 2026. Some players have multiple markets tracking different assist thresholds (1+ or 2+). The match includes regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods that may be played.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records at least the designated number of assists (either 1+ or 2+) during the entire Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 11, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, resolution is determined solely by the assists officially recorded for that player during the match. Assists are tracked independently for each threshold level.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect real-time trader sentiment and aggregate belief about assist outcomes, often diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks apply fixed margins and employ oddsmakers, prediction markets like Kalshi allow continuous repricing as new information emerges. Traders here are directly exposed to the outcome, creating incentives for accuracy. Sportsbooks may lag behind market-driven pricing, especially as match conditions change. Comparing the two reveals whether professional traders or casual bettors are more bullish on specific assist scenarios.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares tied to each assist outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that outcome will occur, with higher prices indicating stronger consensus. Traders can enter limit or market orders, and the spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume increases. As the match date approaches, prices typically become more volatile and precise, reflecting updated information about player availability, form, and tactical setup.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the Argentina vs Switzerland match concludes and assist tallies are finalized. The outcome is confirmed once verified against credible public sources, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Resolution typically occurs within hours of full-time, pending official match data. Traders should monitor for any delays due to disputed calls or data verification. Once resolved, payouts are distributed automatically to holders of the winning outcome.
Team news and injury updates are primary catalysts—the absence of a key playmaker or defender can significantly shift assist expectations. Tactical announcements or lineup changes announced before kickoff often trigger sharp repricing. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or substitutions reshape how traders view assist opportunities for remaining players. Weather conditions and pitch quality can influence passing accuracy and playmaking volume. Late betting activity and sharp money flowing into specific outcomes may signal informed traders positioning ahead of resolution.