TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Egypt, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina score more goals than Egypt in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Argentina and Egypt score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Egypt" if Egypt score more goals than Argentina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Egypt, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina score more goals than Egypt in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Argentina and Egypt score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Egypt" if Egypt score more goals than Argentina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating margins and sharp-money adjustments. Prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery, sometimes reflecting longer-term or contrarian views. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where traders see value or disagreement on the second-half outcome. Both sources offer useful signals, but prediction markets often capture real-time sentiment shifts more dynamically.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares that represent each possible second-half outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; higher prices indicate stronger trader conviction. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices adjust to new information. As match conditions change or fresh data emerges, traders continuously rebalance positions, causing the odds to shift. This decentralized pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to real-world developments throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Argentina vs. Egypt match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by what actually occurs during the second half of play—whether it ends in a win for Argentina, a win for Egypt, or a draw. Resolution happens after the final whistle and any official confirmation of the result. Traders should monitor the match live and official match records to anticipate the resolution timing and prepare for settlement.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Early first-half momentum and scoreline will influence trader expectations for the second half; a team trailing heavily may face longer odds on a comeback. Key player injuries, tactical adjustments, or substitutions announced at halftime can trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and red cards all carry immediate impact. Team news, recent form updates, and any late lineup changes before kickoff will also move prices. Traders monitor these catalysts closely to identify edges and adjust positions accordingly.