TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Argentina will defeat Egypt in their FIFA World Cup soccer match on regulation time, defined as 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. On Kalshi, Argentina is priced at 84.0% to win in regulation, while Egypt stands at 14.0%. The resolution source is the official result of the professional FIFA World Cup game scheduled for July 7, 2026. Watch for the match kickoff on July 7, 2026, which marks the event window during which this regulation-time outcome will be determined.
This event resolves based on the result of the Argentina vs Egypt professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 7, 2026, measured at the conclusion of regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time), excluding extra time or penalties. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Argentina wins regulation time, Egypt wins regulation time, or the teams tie after regulation time. If the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the Tie market resolves to Yes regardless of any subsequent extra time or penalty shootout. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules. This product is not endorsed by FIFA, and all references to FIFA and the FIFA World Cup are descriptive only.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. Prediction markets typically incorporate information more efficiently over time, as traders continuously adjust positions based on breaking news and analysis. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the most recent trades and pending orders, creating a dynamic equilibrium that adjusts as new information emerges. Traders can enter limit orders to wait for their target price or execute market orders for immediate fills. This transparent, real-time pricing model ensures that the odds you see represent genuine market sentiment from active participants.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Argentina versus Egypt match concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during regulation time only; extra time and penalty shootouts do not count. Resolution occurs shortly after the match ends, allowing traders to settle their positions based on the confirmed final score. Early resolution is possible if the event is postponed or cancelled under standard market rules.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and tactical changes revealed before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tournament context all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions at the venue and any last-minute venue changes can also shift odds. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and betting syndicates entering the market may trigger sharp moves. As the match approaches, pre-game commentary and official team confirmations typically drive the final price adjustments before trading closes.