TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 2:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final score after regulation time in the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for July 7, 2026. On Kalshi, a 2-2 draw is the leading outcome at 55.0%, while an Argentina 3-2 victory stands at 27.0%. The market resolves based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for team lineups and tactical announcements in the days leading up to the July 7, 2026 kickoff, as these will signal each side's attacking and defensive approach.
This event encompasses all possible regulation time correct scores for the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 7, 2026. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties explicitly excluded. Each outcome corresponds to a specific final score, covering scenarios where Argentina wins by various margins (1-0 through 6-1), Egypt wins (1-0 through 3-2), or the teams draw (0-0 through 3-3). The market resolves to Yes for whichever outcome matches the actual regulation time result of the professional FIFA World Cup match.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasts. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants betting real money on the outcome, which can reveal insights that differ from traditional sportsbook pricing. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value or where consensus shifts as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to each possible correct score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome contract trades independently, and the current bid-ask spread reflects the tightest prices available at any moment. As new trades execute, prices update in real time. The cost of a contract mirrors the market's implied probability for that scoreline, so a contract trading at a higher price indicates stronger collective confidence in that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Argentina vs Egypt match concludes and the final regulation-time score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official result verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. Only the score at the end of regular play counts; extra time and penalty shootouts, if applicable, do not affect this market. Traders should monitor official team announcements and match coverage to stay informed as the resolution date approaches.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before kickoff and during the match. Pre-game developments—such as confirmed lineups, injury announcements, or tactical surprises—often trigger sharp moves as traders reassess probabilities. During the fixture itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum swings will drive rapid repricing as the likelihood of each scoreline changes. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates can also influence sentiment. Close monitoring of team news and live match action will help you anticipate and react to price movements.