TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 2:56 PM EST
Predict
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 7, 2026 between Argentina and Egypt.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 7, 2026 between Argentina and Egypt.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on accuracy. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly as new information emerges or closer to the event date.
On Predict, traders set prices directly through buy and sell orders, with each outcome reflecting the consensus probability among active participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts continuously as new trades execute, meaning the odds you see represent the latest equilibrium between supply and demand. Higher trading activity typically narrows spreads and increases price accuracy, while lower volume can widen the gap between bid and ask prices.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official final score and result as confirmed by authoritative sports reporting. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on team news, betting patterns, and any other factors traders believe affect the likelihood of each outcome.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts disclosed by coaching staff. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and late-breaking news about player availability can all trigger sharp price movements. Additionally, as the fixture draws closer, reduced uncertainty and increased media coverage often concentrate trading activity, potentially amplifying volatility in this market.