TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 8:37 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Argentina (ARG) and Egypt (EGY), scheduled for 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC. - ARG: If Argentina wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - EGY: If Egypt wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both ARG and EGY options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026
This market refers to the FIFA World Cup match between Argentina (ARG) and Egypt (EGY), scheduled for 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC. - ARG: If Argentina wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - EGY: If Egypt wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both ARG and EGY options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by FIFA World Cup. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and capital allocation. This market may show Argentina at a different probability than traditional sports betting sites quote, depending on which venue has attracted more informed or contrarian positioning. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is moving or where public sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Opinion, traders set the price of this market through continuous order flow and share trading. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a transparent mechanism where each outcome has a price between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the collective probability assigned by active participants. As traders buy or sell shares based on their conviction, the price adjusts in real time. Higher prices signal stronger market confidence in that outcome, while lower prices suggest skepticism or lower perceived likelihood.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result reported by recognized football authorities. Until that point, traders can continue buying and selling shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized, and all positions settle according to the verified outcome.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes that shift perceived match balance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any developments in either squad's preparation can trigger sharp price moves. Betting syndicates and professional traders often react quickly to breaking information, creating volatility in the odds. Public sentiment and media narratives may also influence retail traders, causing secondary waves of buying or selling as the match date approaches.