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Argentina vs Cape Verde: Goalscorer
kalshi

Who will score in Argentina vs Cape Verde?

Volume:
$15,395,255

Lionel Messi: 1+

 - Kalshi

Lionel Messi: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 6:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lionel Messi: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,771,098
N/A
N/A
$2,610,129
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Deroy Duarte: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$204,847
N/A
N/A
$153,547
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lisandro Martinez: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$160,468
N/A
N/A
$146,176
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sidny Lopes Cabral: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60,228
N/A
N/A
$45,695
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lionel Messi: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,189,637
N/A
N/A
$3,726,625
Settled
No
kalshi

Lionel Messi: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,627,035
N/A
N/A
$1,131,081
Settled
No
kalshi

Lautaro Martinez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$535,965
N/A
N/A
$454,061
Settled
No
kalshi

Julian Alvarez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$458,219
N/A
N/A
$281,314
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexis Mac Allister: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$281,507
N/A
N/A
$227,920
Settled
No
kalshi

Jamiro Monteiro: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200,980
N/A
N/A
$179,121
Settled
No
kalshi

Enzo Fernandez: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$168,543
N/A
N/A
$141,388
Settled
No
kalshi

Cristian Romero: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$126,508
N/A
N/A
$66,160
Settled
No
kalshi

Nuno Da Costa: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$104,773
N/A
N/A
$98,850
Settled
No
kalshi

Lautaro Martinez: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102,664
N/A
N/A
$91,655
Settled
No
kalshi

Thiago Almada: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,831
N/A
N/A
$60,676
Settled
No
kalshi

Julian Alvarez: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,718
N/A
N/A
$37,467
Settled
No
kalshi

Jovane Cabral: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,969
N/A
N/A
$41,639
Settled
No
kalshi

Steven Moreira: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,286
N/A
N/A
$37,993
Settled
No
kalshi

Rodrigo De Paul: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,468
N/A
N/A
$36,554
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexis Mac Allister: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,965
N/A
N/A
$31,719
Settled
No
kalshi

Lautaro Martinez: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,641
N/A
N/A
$25,866
Settled
No
kalshi

Nahuel Molina: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,326
N/A
N/A
$18,090
Settled
No
kalshi

Dailon Livramento: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,378
N/A
N/A
$16,235
Settled
No
kalshi

Enzo Fernandez: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,661
N/A
N/A
$11,661
Settled
No
kalshi

Facundo Medina: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,527
N/A
N/A
$10,101
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Intro

This market tracks whether Deroy Duarte will score at least one goal during the Argentina vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—Deroy Duarte scoring 1+ goals—stands at 99.0%. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records of goals scored during regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Watch for team lineups and starting XI announcements closer to the July 3, 2026 match date to confirm Duarte's participation and positioning.

Kalshi

All outcomes are evaluated across the entire match duration, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Each player has separate markets corresponding to different goal thresholds; a market resolves to Yes if that player records at least the specified number of goals. If a player is active but never enters the match, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined solely by that player's recorded goals.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money commitment. Prediction markets typically incorporate breaking news and sentiment shifts faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines, since there is no house margin to protect. For a goalscorer market, prediction traders may price individual outcomes more granularly than sportsbooks, especially for bench players or less obvious scorers. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion diverges from professional oddsmakers.

This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the Argentina vs Cape Verde match concludes and the final goalscorer data is verified. The outcome is determined by which players actually score during the match, confirmed against credible public reporting of the final result. Markets for individual goalscorer outcomes settle independently—for example, if Julian Alvarez scores two or more goals, that specific outcome resolves to yes; all others resolve to no. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, once official match records are published and cross-checked.

Several factors can shift prices in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can dramatically alter scoring odds for key players. Tactical announcements or manager comments about formation or substitution patterns may influence trader expectations around who gets playing time and shot volume. Early match events like an early goal, red card, or injury to a star forward can trigger sharp repricing of remaining goalscorer outcomes. Weather conditions, pitch quality, or last-minute roster adjustments can also move odds. Traders monitor all available information to adjust positions, so any credible update about player availability or team strategy typically triggers immediate price movement.